JOURNAL ARTICLE

Anytime-valid and asymptotically efficient inference driven by predictive recursion.

  • Published In: Biometrika, 2025, v. 112, n. 2. P. 1 1 of 3

  • Database: Academic Search Ultimate 2 of 3

  • Authored By: Dixit, Vaidehi; Martin, Ryan 3 of 3

Abstract

This article focuses on the construction and theoretical properties of a novel statistical tool called the predictive recursion |$ e $|-process (|$ \small{\rm PR}e $| -process) for distinguishing between two classes of models, particularly in complex nonparametric settings. The |$ \small{\rm PR}e $|-process leverages the predictive recursion algorithm to efficiently fit nonparametric mixture models, enabling anytime-valid inference that controls error rates regardless of stopping rules. The paper establishes that the |$ \small{\rm PR}e $|-process is a valid |$ e $|-process with asymptotically optimal growth rates under alternatives, supported by theoretical results and numerical examples including tests for monotonicity, parametric null models, log-concavity, and time homogeneity. The approach offers computational advantages over existing methods due to its recursive updating and flexibility, while motivating further research on convergence rates and high-dimensional extensions.

Additional Information

  • Source:Biometrika. 2025/04, Vol. 112, Issue 2, p1
  • Document Type:Article
  • Subject Area:Business and Management
  • Publication Date:2025
  • ISSN:0006-3444
  • DOI:10.1093/biomet/asae066
  • Accession Number:187126063
  • Copyright Statement:Copyright of Biometrika is the property of Oxford University Press / USA and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Looking to go deeper into this topic? Look for more articles on EBSCOhost.