JOURNAL ARTICLE

Ed Yardeni says China's aging population could make it 'the world's largest nursing home'—and the resulting economic depression may help the U.S.

  • Published In: Fortune.com, 2023. P. N.PAG 1 of 3

  • Database: Business Source Ultimate 2 of 3

  • Authored By: Daniel, Will 3 of 3

Abstract

The article discusses concerns among economists regarding China's aging population and its debt-driven, real estate-focused economic model, which some fear may lead to a scenario termed "Japanification," characterized by prolonged deflation and low growth. Veteran strategist Ed Yardeni highlights the declining fertility rate and a shrinking population as significant issues, noting that China's fertility rate has been below the replacement level since 1991 and that the population declined for the first time in over six decades in 2022. Despite these challenges, there are signs of economic recovery, with improvements in various sectors and forecasts of GDP growth for 2024. However, economists warn that without effective policy changes, China could face serious long-term stagnation similar to Japan's experience. [Extracted from the article]

Additional Information

  • Source:Fortune.com. 2023/11, pN.PAG
  • Document Type:Article
  • Subject Area:Economics
  • Publication Date:2023
  • Accession Number:173930582
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