JOURNAL ARTICLE

The power of directional predictions in psychology.

  • Published In: Journal for the Theory of Social Behaviour, 2023, v. 53, n. 1. P. 62 1 of 3

  • Database: Academic Search Ultimate 2 of 3

  • Authored By: Trafimow, David 3 of 3

Abstract

The vast majority of empirical hypotheses in psychology, or in the social sciences more generally, are directional whereas in other sciences, such as the physical sciences, there are more point or narrow‐interval empirical hypotheses. Characteristics of theories and auxiliary assumptions play a role in the difference. Given that psychology research strongly features directional predictions, it is important to question the extent to which these provide convincing tests of theories that they are designed to test. The present work aims to provide a nuanced view that considers the complex interaction between the obviousness of directional predictions, the obviousness of the theory from which they derive, and the quality of the auxiliary assumptions that push towards directional predictions. Then, too, there is the related issue of vulnerability of directional predictions to alternative explanations and how to address them. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Additional Information

  • Source:Journal for the Theory of Social Behaviour. 2023/03, Vol. 53, Issue 1, p62
  • Document Type:Article
  • Subject Area:Health and Medicine
  • Publication Date:2023
  • ISSN:0021-8308
  • DOI:10.1111/jtsb.12343
  • Accession Number:162396760
  • Copyright Statement:Copyright of Journal for the Theory of Social Behaviour is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

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