JOURNAL ARTICLE

Are US Recessions Going Extinct? That's So 2003.

  • Published In: Bloomberg Opinion, 2026. P. N.PAG 1 of 3

  • Database: Business Source Ultimate 2 of 3

  • Authored By: Levin, Jonathan 3 of 3

Abstract

The article examines the apparent resilience of the US economy, noting that recessions have become less frequent since the mid-20th century due to factors like deposit insurance, unemployment insurance, and Federal Reserve policies. Despite fewer recessions, economic growth has slowed, and equity markets remain volatile, with rare recessions causing severe market downturns. Measures such as the Sortino ratio indicate that downside risk in stocks has not diminished over time, suggesting that equity investing remains risky regardless of recession frequency. The article concludes that the possibility of future downturns persists, and investors should not assume reduced recession risk equates to lower market volatility. [Extracted from the article]

Additional Information

  • Source:Bloomberg Opinion. 2026/03, pN.PAG
  • Document Type:Article
  • Subject Area:History
  • Publication Date:2026
  • Accession Number:192490369
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