JOURNAL ARTICLE

Open or Cease the Fire: Chinese Arms Exports and Civil Conflicts.

  • Published In: Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2025, v. 72, n. 4. P. 1 1 of 3

  • Database: Business Source Ultimate 2 of 3

  • Authored By: He, Xiaoyu; Wang, Mengmeng; Liu, Xiaohui 3 of 3

Abstract

Sparked by research on how the rise of China impacts other nations, we study the effects of Chinese arms exports on recipients' civil conflict incidence. By using an instrumental variable strategy that exploits annual shifts in the RMB exchange rate and a share variation in the propensity of receiving Chinese arms, we find that increasing Chinese arms sales reduces civil conflict incidence. We also provide underlying evidence suggesting that the estimate can be explained by the deterrent power of Chinese arms inflow as well as its positive spillovers that shift a portion of labor forces to newly developed arms industries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Additional Information

  • Source:Scottish Journal of Political Economy. 2025/09, Vol. 72, Issue 4, p1
  • Document Type:Article
  • Subject Area:Military History and Science
  • Publication Date:2025
  • ISSN:0036-9292
  • DOI:10.1111/sjpe.70010
  • Accession Number:187503424
  • Copyright Statement:Copyright of Scottish Journal of Political Economy is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

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