JOURNAL ARTICLE

Who is winning the election? Top data scientist launches electoral vote counter that shows the race moving in real time.

  • Published In: Fortune.com, 2024. P. N.PAG 1 of 3

  • Database: Business Source Ultimate 2 of 3

  • Authored By: Tully, Shawn 3 of 3

Abstract

The article focuses on the electoral forecasts for the 2024 presidential race as analyzed by Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University, using data from the political betting site PredictIt. Miller updates his predictions daily, translating betting odds into a real-time electoral vote count for candidates, which he displays on his new site, virtualtout.io. As of October 29, the forecast shows a lead for Trump/Vance with 345 electoral votes, while Harris/Walz has 193, although Harris is gaining momentum. Miller notes that increased trading activity on PredictIt and targeted advertising may be influencing voter sentiment and betting patterns, contributing to the race's volatility and unpredictability. [Extracted from the article]

Additional Information

  • Source:Fortune.com. 2024/10, pN.PAG
  • Document Type:Article
  • Subject Area:Politics and Government
  • Publication Date:2024
  • Accession Number:180612138
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