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Knowing the odds.

  • Published In: New Scientist, 2024, v. 263, n. 3509. P. 28 1 of 3

  • Database: Academic Search Ultimate 2 of 3

  • Authored By: Thompson, Alexandra 3 of 3

Abstract

In the book "The Art of Uncertainty: How to navigate chance, ignorance, risk and luck," statistician David Spiegelhalter explores the concept of uncertainty and how it affects our lives. He explains that the chance of two non-twin siblings sharing a birthday is still 1 in 365, despite the individual chance of being born on a particular day being the same. The book delves into statistical concepts and provides examples to help readers understand everyday uncertainties. Spiegelhalter also discusses the role of luck and how it can be influenced by traits such as taking advantage of opportunities and having positive expectations. While the book doesn't offer a formula for manipulating luck, it provides insights into understanding and navigating uncertainty. [Extracted from the article]

Additional Information

  • Source:New Scientist. 2024/09, Vol. 263, Issue 3509, p28
  • Document Type:Article
  • Subject Area:Science
  • Publication Date:2024
  • ISSN:0262-4079
  • Accession Number:179703609
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